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Preview

Claude vs Codex: Inside the Trillion Dollar Battle for Agents—And Our Collective Future

After weeks of investigation, I think we're missing the real story here. This isn't about Anthropic vs. OpenAI. It's not about developer wars. It's about the future of how all of us will live and work

Claude vs. Codex is the hottest AI agent war in Silicon Valley.

I’ve been asked to do this one for awhile, but I wanted to make sure I got the full picture.

Because Claude vs. Codex is not just about picking OpenAI vs Anthropic. Or whether you want to get locked into a ChatGPT ecosystem. Or how you feel using a terminal like Claude Code.

It’s a lot more than that. The agent wars get painted as a developer debate, but after spending over a hundred hours digging into Claude and Codex the last few weeks, I’m convinced the real story is for all of us. It’s not just about developers, whatever anybody tells you.

Claude vs. Codex is ultimately a battle about the future of work and life. One that will affect all of us, one way or another.

We are already at a point where you (yes, you even if you’re non-technical) can use these agents and get real work done. I wrote a whole guide about it a few weeks ago.

And the thing to remember is: this is the hardest it will ever be. Agents will keep getting easier to use and more powerful from here on out.

But just because the wild agentic future is getting built at lightning speed doesn’t mean that anybody can agree on what kind of agent vision is worth pursuing.

After studying these competing visions for weeks, I think it comes down to this:

Are agents going to be our collaborators and peers?

OR are they going to be task wizards that specialize in accomplishments strictly defined by us?

Because right now there are hundreds of billions of dollars getting poured into both those visions, and they are fundamentally incompatible.

THAT is the real story behind Claude vs. Codex, and THAT is why this battle matters for all of us. Whoever wins is going to shape the literal way we work and live for years to come.

And whatever people may tell you, that battle is not done yet, and YOU get to vote with your feet and pick the future you want. (And I gotta be honest with you, given the current power dynamics, staying out of the debate is probably a vote for ChatGPT.)

So this post is all about helping you get to an informed opinion on one of the biggest AI issues of our time:

  • A non-technical section to help you get a sense of how each agent works beyond the code

  • A technical section to help developers start to tackle which agent to pick for which task

  • An organizational implementation section to lay out the pros and cons of installing Claude Code or Codex at the enterprise level

  • Real stories over the last few months by builders and developers to get a sense for how the debate is evolving in real time

  • A custom prompt that will interview you and help you pick the right agent—will work for you personally or for your team as a whole

  • The implications BEYOND Claude and Codex—how are other agents in the game shaped by these fundamental patterns?

I want you to walk away with a solid understanding of the biggest debate in AI, and the confidence to pick the agent that’s right for you.

I’ll say it again, it is not too early to dig into agents and pick what works for you, and this piece will give you everything you need to pick an agent workflow that fits your needs. Jump in, follow the prompt, and start surfing our wild and weird agentic future!

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